Net Worth 2016-03

Total Net Worth in March: $405,389 ($91,563) – Incredibly satisfied

March was the best month we have ever had.  The stock market did well, our tenants moved in.

During the month we broke the $400K barrier for the first time, 21 months since we broke the $300K barrier and 4 months since we broke the $310K barrier.  I know we kinda ‘cheated; to get here since I picked this month to update the value of our properties, but even without the increase in asset values, we had a really good month.

Assets: +$78,242 –Incredibly satisfied

After holding off for some time, I decided that it was more appropriate to occasionally update the value of our real estate holdings.

I came to this conclusion for a few reasons.  There was getting to be a significant discrepancy between the values of our real estate and the values listed on the Net Worth updates.

More importantly, we are making decisions to buy/spend/rehab/invest etc on real estate, the results both good and bad are best reflected by keeping the values at least somewhat close to market.  For instance we might decide to sell a property if the value has gone way up.  Maybe we rehab a house based on our value vs the after repair value.  Maybe we accept low cash flow if we are getting 10% year over year appreciation vs selling if the market is flat.

I think real estate valuations are very subjective, and I don’t want to get into monthly updates since places like Zillow etc are so volatile. I plan on making a couple of updates a year, and I am trying to make it so the value listed would roughly approximate the amount we would take home after a sale.

The Duplex’s value went up from $308K to $340K in our latest Net Worth Estimate, similar structures in the area have actually sold in the $350K-$390K range.  Zillow currently has an estimate of $385K so I don’t think that $340 is overly aggressive.

I have increased the value on the rental house from $230K to $280K.  This house is in a booming neighborhood in Dallas.  Our real estate agent estimated that its current value would be about $300K.  So the $280K number I believe to be fairly conservative.

I  left the price of our current house the same as we just bought it in Nov of this year and a few months ago, I already increased the value a little based on some rehab work we did to the house.

I used KBB to update the value of our autos and reduced the car value by $616, and the SUV by $555.

Net Cash Accounts: (-$4,208) –Not satisfied

Our cash balances were down quite a bit.  My wife’s kids came to town, and we spent some money shopping, eating out etc.  So our credit card balances (which are paid in full every month) went up.

In addition we paid everything we could on our personal loan so the overall balances in this area were negative.

Net Cash Rental Accounts: +$965  – Satisfied

We were up this month on our rentals.  Finally have someone living in our old house offset by some final expenses we took on to get the house ready to rent.

Retirement accounts: +$9,708  – Incredibly satisfied

A great month in our investment accounts. My 401K account had its best month ever.  My IRA did well as Apple is starting to come to life. The wife’s 401K did well as she is entirely in a Vanguard S&P fund.

Honestly in this area we just need to continue investing, and to continue increasing our contributions over time.

Liabilities: +$6,857  – Incredibly satisfied

A great month, we paid off the personal loan (+5,761) we took out to buy/rehab the house we bought in Nov.  I absolutely hated taken out this loan, it went against just about everything my wife and I are trying to do.  Being able to get it paid off is a great relief, it lowers our fixed costs by $310/month.

Next month we will turn our focus to the 401 loan, we owe $19.2K, I would like to see us have it paid off by Aug.

The remaining improvement (approx +1,100) was just due to regular amortization on our other loans.

How did you do in March?

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Net Worth 2016-02

Total Net Worth in February: $313,826 ($8,943)

February was a solid month.  The stock market particularly KMI rebounded, and we didnt have a ton of major expenses.

Assets: +$0

We continue to take a conservative view of property price appreciation, and have made no changes to the listed values of our real estate holdings.

I haven’t typically updated the value of the properties.  But I think going forward I will update our assets a couple of times a year and will probably do a full update next month.

Net Cash Accounts: (-$1,168)

Our cash balances were down slightly.  We did a lot better on spending and our credit card balances (which we pay off in full every month) were down $1,000.  Our checking account was down $2,500 as we made an extra payment to our personal loan.

Net Cash Rental Accounts: ($476)

We were slightly positive on our rental accounts even though we continued to spend money getting our house ready to rent.  Great news, we have new tenants that have signed a lease and will be moving into our house in March.

Hopefully with both rentals fully leased, we can see some improvement in this area over the next few months.

Retirement accounts: ($4,300)

The month was solid, KMI, knock on wood seems be turning the corner and rebounded from $15/share back to $18.52.   I still like the company for the long run, it has fantastic assets but its been tough to hang in there over the last year or so.

During the month, we moved about 1/4 of the cash in our 401K account into our other funds.  The market seemed oversold and each time we get a 10% pullback I try to move money from cash into equities.  In addition I turned off new contributions to the Vanguard Healthcare fund.  The Healthcare fund has been a huge winner over the last few years, but I believe this fund is at risk from being targeted in this political cycle.  Pharmaceutical companies  could be challenged for a while.  I don’t plan on selling anything in the fund, but its time to put contributions in other places. (Value, S&P, Small Cap)

Liabilities: ($5,335)

This was a much better month.  We were able to pay down our personal loan by $4,239 in Feb.  Hopefully we can have it paid off in March or at the latest in April.

The remaining improvement (approx +1,100) was just due to regular amortization on our other loans.

How did you do in Feb?

Net Worth 2016-01

Total Net Worth in January: $304,882 (-$21,727)

January was one of our worst months in years from a ‘Net Worth ‘ perspective.  The stock market was terrible, we had moving expenses and additional rehab expenses.

Assets: +$0

No change in this area.

We continue to take a conservative view of property price appreciation, and have made no changes to the listed values of our real estate holdings.

I did a back of the napkin calculation.  We likely have our 3 properties listed as much as $100-110K less than they are worth.  Duplex $20-25K light, Old House $60-70K light, New House $20K+ light.

I don’t update the properties because of the difficulties of identifying market value without selling them and we aren’t in the market to sell.  Plus there is a lot of transaction costs to buy or sell a property.

 

Net Cash Accounts: (-$4,196)

Our cash balances were down this month as we paid about $15,000 towards house remodeling expenses, Plus a couple thousand more went to moving expenses.  We offset this by taking on a $10,000 personal loan.

Net Cash Rental Accounts: (-$2,492)

We were negative this month as we spent money to get our old place ready for rent.  We bought a dish washer, paid for a make ready cleaning etc, replaced some hardware like door locks, towel racks etc.

Unless we have something unexpected happen, I would expect this area to be a lot more positive over the next few months.

Retirement accounts: (-$6,113)

Its been a tough few weeks, our contributions have been offset by continued losses in the market.  Not much is going well.

We bought some more Disney, and in our 401K account we move some money (5% of the total) from cash into mutual funds.  If we get down 20% off of the highs, we will move another 5% of cash into the market.

I know the market will return, and we try to be counter cyclical to the market, ie move money in a disciplined way out of cash and into the market when the market is doing poorly, and trim a bit of our high fliers/winners in an up market.

Liabilities: (-$9,195)

Ok….Not happy with this one.  We had a cost overrun with our rehab projects.  Honestly it was on us, during construction we found additional things and chose to get the house into a live-able condition before we moved in, we ran over and decided to take out a short term personal loan (3 yr, $10K).

I think taking out the loan was the right thing to do, and overall we have added a lot of equity to this house.  We have a couple of additional things left to do, one of our bathrooms is only roughed in.  We need to install tile throughout, install fixtures and add a vanity/countertop.  In addition we need to install new flooring.

Our 2016 goal is STILL to reduce this category  in 2016.  I hope we can have this personal loan and 401K loan paid off this year (assuming we can get our old house rented).  I will be really disappointed if we dont make some real headway in Feb in paying things down.

Net Worth 2015-12

Total Net Worth in December: $326,610 (-$11,823)

December was a tough month, we had a really bad downturn in Kinder Morgan.  In addition we spent a significant amount of money on rehabbing our house.

Assets: ($757,556) -$2,974

This month, I updated the KBB values for our autos, something that I hadn’t done in a while. Also, I dropped the assumption for the quality of the cars (good vs. very good condition).

We continue to take a conservative view of property price appreciation, and have made no changes to the listed values of our real estate holdings.

Net Cash Accounts: (-$3,419)

Our cash balances were down this month.  We had Christmas expenses, travel, gifts etc.

In addition, we paid just under $6,000 towards house remodeling expenses. I would expect about $10-15K more will be paid out in January as we finish up the work we are having done.

Net Cash Rental Accounts: ($1,677)

Cash for our rentals was up this month offset by some repairs/improvements.  As an example we installed some additional security lights, bought some new light fixtures and a couple of new faucets.  Short term we are investing our cash flow in repairs and upkeep.

Our long term strategy is to have well maintained properties that are easy to rent and where we can continually attract high quality tenants.  Over the long term we should be able to charge higher rents, have fewer vacancies and eventually earn more money.

Retirement accounts: (-$8,475)

Its been a tough few weeks, our contributions have been offset by continued losses in KMI.  There may be some additional downward pressure, but over the long haul, they have some of the best assets in the business, and KMI will benefit from the long term trend to natural gas.

Liabilities: ($1,368)

The liabilities went down due to our regular monthly payments. Our 2016 goal is to reduce this category by $50K

Net Worth 2015-11

Total Net Worth in November: $338,432 (+$21,147)

It was a great month, ok maybe I am a little biased, we closed on a new house in November.  We broke thru the $330K mark for the first time.

Assets: ($760,530) +$205,000

We added a new house this month.  Our intent is to move in (after we do some improvements), and then lease out our last property.  I am assigning a reasonably aggressive number to the value as $205K is more than we paid.  (But less than our real estate agents estimate).

Otherwise we are taking a conservative view of property price appreciation, we made no changes to the listed values of our other real estate holdings.  The value we have listed for all of our properties combined is conservative.

We used the same KBB values on our vehicles as last month.

Net Cash Accounts: (-$9,255)

This section contains the balances of all of our cash accounts outside of our rental property.  Emergency funds, banking, savings accounts, HSA, FSA and credit cards. We pay the credit cards off in full every month, but the balances obviously change from month to month.

Our cash balances went down due to closing on our house.  This was offset by increased savings.  I expect it will down more in December as we pay for some home improvements on the new place we bought.

Net Cash Rental Accounts: (-$1,426)

Cash for our rentals was down this month.  We spent some money to buy some demo tools to take down a wall and bought some locks, air filters and other misc items, In addition we paid for pest control and water/trash.

Retirement accounts: (-$144)

Its been a tough few weeks, our contributions have been offset by some very bad losses in KMI.

I still have a lot of long term faith in Rich Kinder (CEO of KMI), even after they cut the dividend.  I think it is a broken stock not a broken company.  And having traded in the midwest, I know NGPL, and why it is an excellent pipeline and key to the midwest. Especially as coal plants continue to be shut down and replaced with natural gas.

I have been very wrong so far, but we will stick it out.

Liabilities: (-$173,030)

The negative is entirely due to the addition of a home loan.

Net Worth 2015-09

Total Net Worth in September: $320,141 (+$1,242)

I am really happy to have a positive month in the face of a pretty bad stock market.  Plus we broke thru the $320K barrier.

During the month we paid off the 401K loan (+4,555).  We worked hard, our original payoff estimate was November.

Assets: ($0)

No change this month.

Since we are taking a conservative view of property price appreciation, we made no changes to the listed values of our real estate.

In addition we used the same KBB values on our vehicles.

Net Cash Accounts: (-$1,566)

This section contains the balances of all of our cash accounts outside of our rental property.  Emergency funds, banking, savings accounts, HSA, FSA and credit cards. We pay the credit cards off in full every month, but the balances obviously change from month to month.

Our credit card balances were up $1,200. We paid our annual car insurance payment this month with our remaining spending staying about the same.

We used some of our cash out of savings to pay off our 401K loan.

In addition we put money down on Property #3.  More to come later.

Net Cash Rental Accounts: (-$3,385)

This area went down this month for 2 reasons 1) We used some of the money in these accounts for deposit on property #3. 2) We didnt collect either of our rent checks on the duplex until October.

I expect next month will be up in this area.

Retirement accounts: (+$946)

OK, it was a tough month in the markets.

However the loan repayments and our monthly 401K contributions overcame the negative market reactions.

During the month we added to our position in Kraft/Heinz, and began a position in Goldman Sachs. We also added to our position in Kinder Morgan (KMI).

I feel like over time Warren Buffet and 3G will do a good job of increasing profits at KHC.  Great brands, a lot of opportunity to expand overseas, and its a great vehicle for future acquisitions.  In addition, they should get a tailwind from the drop in commodity prices, and we are paid a 3% dividend to wait.  Might add more to this position in the future.

I like GS, we were underweight in financials, and they should benefit from increased volatility in the markets.

Neither GS or KHC has been a very good purchase so far, but I think that they are both excellent long term buys and should do well over the next few years.

We have increased our position several times in KMI, and our last purchase this month was at $25/share.  It closed September right under $30/share.  I think this may be close to a bottom for KMI, the stock is paying a dividend just under 6.5%, and they are committed to increasing the dividend significantly over the next 5 years.

Liabilities: (+$5,248)

We paid off our 401K loan (+$4,555), and beat our original projection by 2 months.

The pay-down on our mortgages will continue to be about $700/month over the course of the year.

Thanks for reading, did you have a good month?

Stay on the Roller Coaster

ok..the market was terrible last week.

There is no getting around it, the Dow was off 500+ points on Friday. And that was on the heels of a terrible Thursday.

As I write this, it sounds as though we may see more of the same next week as Asian markets and that the futures markets are looking even worse for Monday.

So what to do?

Well what do you do when you ride a roller coaster?  You only get hurt on a roller coaster when you jump off as it is still moving.  Once you are on, there is no point jumping off after the first big dip.

Unless something changes, there is no reason to believe this is anything other than a garden variety market correction.  Yes there might be more downside,  we might lose another 10% or so, but even at this point there are some stocks that I think are interesting.

I still like Disney, Apple, and KMI among others.  I might raise some cash in some other areas with the intent of buying some more of these stocks.  Especially if the markets continue to drop.

I think good high quality stocks who have great cash flow, high dividends (or the ability to increase dividends), and who have premium brand names in their market are the place to be.  KMI as an example is sitting at a 6.2% dividend and has committed to a 10%/year dividend increases for the next 5 years.  Even if they lower that guidance, you are still being paid a huge premium to Treasuries.  Plus you will get a stock price appreciation kicker if the dividend is increased.

Apple and Disney have huge cash flows and have a history of highly successful targeted stock buy backs, and both have huge product launches coming up (DIS with Star Wars, AAPL with a new Iphone).  They are both way off their highs, and both are best in class assets with ecosystems that can’t be duplicated  They will go up over time, and this pull back is giving you a good place to get in, and I like these companies enough I would double down if their stock price drops more.

When oil bottoms (I dont think its quite there yet) I may look at one of Exxon/Hess/Conoco/Chevron, and might double down on an existing position in EOG.

There are a few other positions I might try and increase as well over the next month or two.  Cisco, Financials, Defense, maybe some tech.

In our 401K account we have a larger than ideal percent of our portfolio in a money market fund.  Over the last month or two, I felt like the market was getting sluggish.  Since we have been making extra payments on our 401K loan, we decided it was best to have those extra payments mainly go into a money market and move them into various index funds over time.  The whole idea was to spread out the market risk, especially while the market was near a top.

Now that we have had a pullback, its time to get at least some of that money invested, I am thinking of maybe moving 25% of our cash into the market this week, and maybe another 25% for every 10% market drop. We might also consider additional moves at certain milestones.  For instance after the fed announces their intentions with rates, or after we get past October.

Basically the idea is to take this time of market panic and move into, not out of the market.  Short term the market might drop some more, history tells us that is a good time to buy even more, especially since we are talking a 15-20 year time horizon with retirement funds.  I have every confidence we will do well in the markets over any 20 year time horizon.

Its a roller-coaster, don’t jump off in mid ride.